Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.190674 0.217203 0.245690 0.278506 0.315217 0.354970 0.401225
2025-11-16 0.151573 0.186261 0.226035 0.274844 0.332946 0.399705 0.482022
2025-11-23 0.124580 0.163539 0.210819 0.272055 0.348866 0.441585 0.561496
2025-11-30 0.107926 0.150196 0.204113 0.277298 0.373316 0.494183 0.656900
2025-12-07 0.092929 0.136480 0.194627 0.276983 0.389488 0.536496 0.741550
2025-12-14 0.081037 0.125092 0.186433 0.276746 0.404706 0.577593 0.826472
2025-12-21 0.071581 0.115747 0.179680 0.277228 0.420113 0.619099 0.913789
2025-12-28 0.064722 0.109253 0.176068 0.281391 0.440396 0.667956 1.013644
2026-01-04 0.059585 0.104696 0.174668 0.288330 0.464731 0.723531 1.125823
2026-01-11 0.054157 0.098957 0.170729 0.290744 0.482012 0.769348 1.225857
2026-01-18 0.050028 0.094843 0.168847 0.295983 0.503634 0.822458 1.339236
2026-01-25 0.046891 0.092038 0.168740 0.303872 0.529670 0.883405 1.467419
2026-02-01 0.042185 0.086049 0.162943 0.302207 0.540761 0.922727 1.566012
2026-02-08 0.038122 0.080750 0.157797 0.301129 0.552600 0.963775 1.669529
2026-02-15 0.034471 0.075781 0.152718 0.299631 0.563439 1.003592 1.772995
2026-02-22 0.032303 0.073457 0.152214 0.306185 0.588482 1.068053 1.920069
2026-03-01 0.029549 0.069596 0.148418 0.306290 0.601968 1.113585 2.037627
2026-03-08 0.027073 0.066004 0.144763 0.306271 0.615062 1.158918 2.156851
2026-03-15 0.024923 0.062843 0.141634 0.306928 0.629288 1.206761 2.282506
2026-03-22 0.023371 0.060822 0.140604 0.311560 0.651143 1.269066 2.436257
2026-03-29 0.022224 0.059591 0.141084 0.319202 0.679124 1.343650 2.615121
2026-04-05 0.020737 0.057367 0.139229 0.321869 0.697509 1.401508 2.766390
2026-04-12 0.019623 0.055907 0.138887 0.327621 0.722251 1.472202 2.944072